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译文(字数 3428):
现在股市投资已经成为人们日常生活的一个重要组成部分,然而股市投资的收益与风险往往是成正比的,即投资收益越高,可能冒的风险越大。随着越来越多的人进入股市进行投资活动,人们迫切需要一种有效的分析方法,能够最大限度地增加收益,降低风险。目前,西方金融理论界对技术分析的研究主要集中于两个方面:寻求价格运动规律存在的统计支持;研究基于技术分析的交易规则,获得更直接的实证支持。一些研究者采用分形和混沌理论来解释股市的价格行为,并得到较好的效果,还有贝叶斯统计、人工智能等方法,这些工程学手段也逐步使用在各种投资软件和自动交易系统中,与简单的移动平均等方法相比,现代技术分析在预测技术方面具有更深的意义。………………
外文原文(字符数 10762):
外文出处: 〔美〕Matin T.Hagan Howard B.Demuth Mark H.Beale[M].戴葵译.北京:机械工业出版社,2002
Now the stock market investment has become an important everyday part of life,however, the benefits and risks of stock market is often directly proportional to the investment income that is higher, the risks may be greater. As more and more people into the stock market investment activity, they urgently need an effective method that can maximize revenue and reduce risk. Currently, the western financial sector technical analysis theory research focuses on two aspects: there is movement of the price for the statistical support; research is based on technical analysis trading rules, access to more direct empirical support. Some researchers used the fractal and chaos theory to explain the stock market price behavior, and get better results, as well as Bayesian statistics, artificial intelligence and other methods ………………